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Race to the 2024 USL League One Playoffs - Week 21

By ETHAN TRIEBSCH - ethan.triebsch@uslsoccer.com, 09/19/24, 3:15PM EDT

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Omaha first in; Charlotte, Knoxville, Madison and Greenville can join in Week 21

The Race to the 2024 USL League One Playoffs, presented by Terminix is back for the league's sixth season, where we provide weekly information on where each team stands in their bid to reach the 2024 USL League One Playoffs, presented by Terminix in November.

The defending USL League One Players' Shield winners, Union Omaha, locked up the first postseason berth of the season on Wednesday after Lexington knocked off Central Valley through its league-record-tying 7-1 victory. As Week 21 concludes on Saturday with all 12 teams in action, four sides can confirm their postseason position and none will be eliminated.

This season, we're grateful to our friend John Morrissey at USL Tactics for providing the data for playoff projections. Below, you'll find matches to watch and an overview of where everyone stands.

As a reminder, the 2024 USL League One Playoffs will be expanded to include the top eight regular season finishers - the largest postseason field in league history. The postseason will begin with the four quarterfinal matches on the weekend of Nov. 2 with the top four seeds hosting the four remaining lower seeds: No. 1 hosting No. 8, No. 2 hosting No. 7, No. 3 hosting No. 6 and No. 4 hosting No. 5.

The pair of semifinal matches will be hosted by the highest remaining seeds on the weekend of Nov. 9. The 2024 USL League One Final will be held on the weekend of Nov. 16 at the home venue of the highest remaining seed as the league concludes its sixth campaign. The seven total postseason matches will be the most in league history.

MATCHES TO WATCH

Saturday, September 21

In a battle of teams below the playoff line, both Richmond and Lexington should feel good heading into the weekend following a pair of notable victories; Richmond relied on its youth to upset Charlotte at American Legion Memorial Stadium and earn its first victory against the Independence since June 2022, and Lexington matched the record for the largest victory in league history with a 7-1 shellacking of Central Valley on Wednesday. A win for either side would present the opportunity to finish the week above the playoff line – something Richmond hasn't done since April and Charlotte since June – and coincidentally mean that Knoxville, Madison and Greenville would have to wait at least one more week to confirm their respective postseason berths. While Lexington is unbeaten against Richmond in its last three meetings, the pair's lone encounter at City Stadium resulted in a Kickers victory back in May 2023.

Saturday, September 21

The Owls became the first team to lock up a postseason berth through Lexington's result against Central Valley on Wednesday, as the Players' Shield holders look to become the first to claim the trophy three times. Alternatively, Knoxville is closing in on the first postseason appearance of its two-year professional era and first overall since participating in the 2022 USL League Two Playoffs as South Central Division champions to conclude its inaugural campaign. Seeking its first win of the two-year series, Knoxville have historically struggled against Omaha, averaging only 0.25 points per match against the Owls – its lowest total against a League One opponent. Still, Knoxville are flying under Interim Head Coach Ilija Ilić and are only one match shy of equaling its club-record 12-match unbeaten streak from the middle of its 2022 USL League Two season.

1. Union Omaha
Record: 10-4-2, 32 pts.

Playoffs Odds: 100%

Magic Number: Clinched

Max Points Available: 50
Best/Worst Finish: 1st/8th

Strength of Schedule: 10th

Up Next: vs. KNX (9/21)
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Union Omaha clinched a spot in the 2024 USL League One Playoffs in Week 20. Omaha have secured its fifth consecutive postseason appearance in its fifth season of existence. The defending Players’ Shield holders were bounced from the 2023 USL League One Playoffs by Charlotte in the Semifinals. Los Búhos are chasing their fourth trophy in club history and first since winning the 2023 USL League One Players’ Shield.
2. Charlotte Independence
Record: 8-4-5, 29 pts.

Playoffs Odds: >99%

Magic Number: 4

Max Points Available: 44
Best/Worst Finish: 1st/12th

Strength of Schedule: 9th

Up Next: @ TRM (9/21)
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The Charlotte Independence are able to clinch and unable to be eliminated from 2024 USL League One Playoffs contention in Week 21. The Independence control their own destiny with a magic number of 4. The Jacks are seeking their fourth consecutive postseason appearance and seventh in club history. Charlotte concluded the 2023 campaign with a loss on penalties in the 2023 USL League One Final. The 9-year-old side is chasing its first trophy in club history.

Charlotte clinch a postseason berth if:
1. Charlotte win at South Georgia AND Lexington lose/draw at Richmond
3. One Knoxville SC
Record: 8-4-4, 28 pts.

Playoffs Odds: >99%

Magic Number: 5

Max Points Available: 46
Best/Worst Finish: 1st/12th

Strength of Schedule: 6th

Up Next: @ OMA (9/21)
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One Knoxville SC is able to clinch and unable to be eliminated from 2024 USL League One Playoffs contention in Week 21. One Knox controls its own destiny with a magic number of 5. Knoxville is seeking its first USL League One Playoffs appearance and second postseason appearance in club history after qualifying for the 2022 USL League Two Playoffs as South Central Division champions. One Knox finished the 2023 season in eighth place, and the 3-year-old side is chasing its first trophy in club history.

Knoxville clinch a postseason berth if:
1. Knoxville win at Omaha AND Lexington draw at Richmond AND Chattanooga lose/draw at Northern Colorado
4. Forward Madison FC
Record: 7-2-7, 28 pts.

Playoffs Odds: >99%

Magic Number: 5

Max Points Available: 46
Best/Worst Finish: 1st/12th

Strength of Schedule: T-2nd

Up Next: vs. SPK (9/21)
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Forward Madison FC is able to clinch and unable to be eliminated from 2024 USL League One Playoffs contention in Week 21. The 'Mingos control their own destiny with a magic number of 5. Forward Madison FC is seeking its second consecutive postseason appearance and third in club history. Madison concluded the 2023 campaign with a loss in the 2023 USL League One Playoffs Quarterfinals against Northern Colorado. The 6-year-old club is seeking its first trophy in club history.

Madison clinch a postseason berth if:
1. Madison win vs. Spokane AND Lexington draw at Richmond AND Chattanooga lose/draw at Northern Colorado
5. Greenville Triumph SC
Record: 8-6-3, 27 pts.

Playoffs Odds: 95%

Magic Number: 6

Max Points Available: 42
Best/Worst Finish: 1st/12th

Strength of Schedule: 11th

Up Next: vs. CV (9/21)
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Greenville Triumph SC is able to clinch and unable to be eliminated from 2024 USL League One Playoffs contention in Week 21. Triumph SC controls its own destiny with a magic number of 6. Greenville is seeking its sixth postseason appearance in its sixth season of existence. Greenville concluded the 2023 campaign with a loss in the 2023 USL League One Playoffs Quarterfinals against Charlotte. Triumph SC is chasing its third trophy and first since being crowned 2020 USL League One Final winners.

Greenville clinch a postseason berth if:
1. Greenville win vs. Central Valley AND Lexington draw at Richmond AND Chattanooga lose/draw at Northern Colorado
6. Spokane Velocity FC
Record: 7-4-5, 26 pts.

Playoffs Finish: 90%

Magic Number: 7

Max Points Available: 44
Best/Worst Finish: 1st/12th

Strength of Schedule: 3rd

Up Next: @ MAD (9/21)
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Spokane Velocity FC is unable to clinch or be eliminated from 2024 USL League One Playoffs contention in Week 21. Velocity FC controls its own destiny with a magic number of 7. Velocity FC is seeking its first postseason appearance in its first season of existence. Outside of the league’s inaugural 2019 campaign, a playoff berth in 2024 would see Spokane join Omaha (2020) and Charlotte (2022) as the only clubs to qualify for the USL League One Playoffs in their first season in the league.
7. Northern Colorado Hailstorm FC
Record: 7-5-4, 25 pts.

Playoffs Odds: 99%

Magic Number: 8

Max Points Available: 43
Best/Worst Finish: 1st/12th

Strength of Schedule: 8th

Up Next: vs. CHA (9/21)
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Northern Colorado Hailstorm FC is unable to clinch or be eliminated from 2024 USL League One Playoffs contention in Week 21. The Hailstorm control their own destiny with a magic number of 8. Northern Colorado is seeking its second consecutive postseason appearance in its third season of existence. The Hailstorm concluded the 2023 campaign with a loss in the 2023 USL League One Playoffs Semifinals against eventual champion North Carolina. The Windsor, Colo.-based club is chasing its first trophy in club history.
8. South Georgia Tormenta FC
Record: 4-7-6, 18 pts.

Playoffs Odds: 34%

Magic Number: 15

Max Points Available: 33
Best/Worst Finish: 1st/12th

Strength of Schedule: T-2nd

Up Next: vs. CLT (9/21)
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South Georgia Tormenta FC is unable to clinch or be eliminated from 2024 USL League One Playoffs contention in Week 21. The Ibises control their own destiny with a magic number of 15 and are seeking their third postseason appearance and second in USL League One after qualifying for the USL League Two Playoffs in 2018 and USL League One Playoffs in 2022. Tormenta FC finished one point shy of qualifying for the postseason in 2023, finishing in seventh place. South Georgia is seeking its second trophy in club history and first since winning the 2022 USL League One Final.

9. Lexington SC
Record: 4-8-5, 17 pts.

Playoffs Odds: 11%

Magic Number: N/A

Max Points Available: 32
Best/Worst Finish: 2nd/12th

Strength of Schedule: 4th

Up Next: @ RIC (9/21)
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Lexington SC is unable to clinch or be eliminated from 2024 USL League One Playoffs contention in Week 21. LSC is seeking its first postseason appearance in its second season of existence. In its inaugural 2023 campaign, Lexington finished in ninth place. In its final season in League One before moving to the USL Championship in 2025, LSC is seeking its first trophy.
10. Chattanooga Red Wolves SC
Record: 5-11-1, 16 pts.

Playoffs Odds: 7%

Magic Number: N/A

Max Points Available: 31
Best/Worst Finish: 2nd/12th

Strength of Schedule: 7th

Up Next: @ NCO (9/21)
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Chattanooga Red Wolves SC is unable to clinch or be eliminated from 2024 USL League One Playoffs contention in Week 21. The Red Wolves are seeking their third postseason appearance and first since advancing to the 2022 USL League One Final. Chattanooga concluded the 2023 campaign in 10th place and are aiming to lift its first trophy this season.
11. Richmond Kickers
Record: 4-9-4, 16 pts.

Playoffs Odds: 7%

Magic Number: N/A

Max Points Available: 31
Best/Worst Finish: 2nd/12th

Strength of Schedule: 5th

Up Next: vs. LEX (9/21)
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The Richmond Kickers are unable to clinch or be eliminated from 2024 USL League One Playoffs contention in Week 21. The Richmond Kickers are seeking their 25th postseason appearance, their third since joining League One in 2019, and first since 2022 when the historic club claimed the 2022 USL League One Players’ Shield. Richmond finished the 2023 campaign in 11th place. The 32-year-old club is seeking its 10th trophy.
12. Central Valley Fuego FC
Record: 3-11-2, 11 pts.

Playoffs Odds: <1%

Magic Number: N/A

Max Points Available: 29
Best/Worst Finish: 2nd/12th

Strength of Schedule: 1st

Up Next: @ GVL (9/21)
+
Central Valley Fuego FC is unable to clinch or be eliminated from 2024 USL League One Playoffs contention in Week 21. Fuego FC is seeking its first postseason appearance in its third season of existence. The Fresno, Calif.-based side finished in last place in 2023 and is seeking its first trophy in club history.

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